Figure S1. from Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies
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posted on 2020-07-30, 12:41 authored by Robin N. Thompson, T. Déirdre Hollingsworth, Valerie Isham, Daniel Arribas-Bel, Ben Ashby, Tom Britton, Peter Challenor, Lauren H. K. Chappell, Hannah Clapham, Nik J. Cunniffe, A. Philip Dawid, Christl A. Donnelly, Rosalind M. Eggo, Sebastian Funk, Nigel Gilbert, Julia R. Gog, Paul Glendinning, William S. Hart, Hans Heesterbeek, Thomas House, Matt Keeling, István Z. Kiss, Mirjam E. Kretzschmar, Alun L. Lloyd, Emma S. McBryde, James M. McCaw, Joel C. Miller, Trevelyan J. McKinley, Martina Morris, Philip D. O'Neill, Carl A. B. Pearson, Kris V. Parag, Lorenzo Pellis, Juliet R. C. Pulliam, Joshua V. Ross, Michael J. Tildesley, Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba, Bernard W. Silverman, Claudio J. Struchiner, Pieter Trapman, Cerian R. Webb, Denis Mollison, Olivier RestifExamples of six previous and ongoing epidemics, demonstrating the potential for a long 'tail' of cases before eradication. These long tails can occur even when an effective vaccine has been developed.
